NAICS 44-45

Retail Trade in Elkhart-Goshen, IN

Metro Market Score 48.1 (Challenging), ranked #111 of 378 metros. 696 establishments, 9,748 jobs.

Metro Market Assessment

Metro Market Score 48.1
Favorable 0-35
Moderate 35-48
Challenging 48-60
Difficult 60+
Challenging

Lower is better. Relative to national retail trade average.

Retail Trade employment in Elkhart-Goshen contracted year-over-year, placing the growth trend in the upper half at 7.4. Declining job counts can indicate consolidation, population shifts, or reduced local demand. Due diligence on the local economy is especially important here.

Industry Concentration
1.6
LQ: 0.77
Rank #6 of 378 metros
Wage Competitiveness
27.5
$35,511 avg wage
Growth Trend
7.4
Employment growth index
Rank #351 of 378 metros
Wage Pressure
65.3
YoY wage change index

696 Retail Trade Firms in Elkhart-Goshen

696
Establishments
-1.3% YoY
9,748
Total Employment
-4.2% YoY
$35,511
Average Annual Wage
+0.7% YoY
0.77
Location Quotient
Below national avg
Within Indiana
#4 of 11
retail trade metros in state
Indiana state rank
#10 of 51
for retail trade entry risk
vs State Median
-7.5
better than median (55.6)

Elkhart-Goshen vs Indiana Statewide

How this metro's retail trade market compares to Indiana overall. The state ranks #10/51 for entry risk.

Measure Elkhart-Goshen IN Statewide
Overall Score 48.1 Challenging 39.8 Moderate
Score Type Metro Market Score Entry Risk Score
Rank #111 of 378 metros #10 of 51 states

Metro and state scores use different methodologies (metro has 4 QCEW-based metrics; state adds BDS survival and momentum data). Direct score comparisons are approximate.

Other Industries in Elkhart-Goshen

Retail Trade in Other Indiana Metros

Retail Trade Metros With Similar Conditions

Metros within 5 points of Elkhart-Goshen's 48.1 score. Useful when comparing markets with comparable entry profiles.

Retail Trade in States Bordering Indiana

State-level entry risk for retail trade in adjacent states. Use this to weigh cross-border options.

Browse Retail Trade in Other States

State-level entry risk reports for retail trade across all 51 markets, sorted by rank.

About Metro Market Score: A weighted composite of industry concentration (25%), wage competitiveness (25%), wage pressure (20%), and employment growth trend (30%). Lower scores indicate more favorable conditions. For Elkhart-Goshen's retail trade sector, the employment growth component (92.6) has the strongest pull on the composite. Metro scores use QCEW data only (no BDS survival data at metro level). Read full methodology →

Data Sources

Data period: 2024. Last updated: April 2026.