NAICS 44-45

Retail Trade in Idaho: 2026 Market Risk Report

Entry risk 40.1 (Moderate), ranked #12 of 51 states. 7,568 establishments, 93,872 jobs.

Entry Risk Assessment

Entry Risk Score 40.1
Low 0-30
Moderate 30-42
Elevated 42-55
High 55+
Moderate

ⓘ Lower is better. Relative to national retail trade average.

📈Growth Opportunity🛡️Stable Market

Idaho exhibits structural stability in retail trade, with volatility at 28.3 and firm retention ranking in the top half. These metrics suggest lower cyclical risk compared to the national baseline.

5-Year Firm Retention
66.7%
Percentile within industry
Rank #18 of 51 states
Growth Momentum
↑ 72.0
Scale of 0-100
Rank #4 of 51 states
Establishment Density
79.6
vs. national average
Rank #44 of 51 states
Market Volatility
28.3
Lower is more stable
Wage Pressure Index
30.7
Labor cost pressure

7,568 Establishments in Idaho

7,568
Establishments
+5.4% YoY
93,872
Total Employment
+0.3% YoY
$40,749
Average Annual Wage
+2.5% YoY

Idaho vs National Retail Trade Average

How Idaho's retail trade market compares to the national average across all 51 states.

Metric ID National Difference
Entry Risk Score 40.1 44.6 -4.5
5-Year Retention 66.7% 51.0% +15.7
Growth Momentum 72.0 42.9 +29.1
Market Volatility 28.3 24.4 +3.9
Establishment Density 79.6 49.0 +30.6
Wage Pressure 30.7 30.5 +0.2

Green = favorable vs national average. Red = less favorable. Metrics are relative within retail trade only.

Idaho Ranks #12 of 51 for Retail Trade

Idaho ranks #12 out of 51 states for retail trade market entry conditions.

Retail Trade Entry Risk by State

Rank State Risk Score Classification
#1 Wisconsin 33.3 moderate
#2 Nebraska 35.9 moderate
#3 Nevada 37.0 moderate
#4 Massachusetts 37.1 moderate
#5 Alaska 37.2 moderate
#12 Idaho You 40.1 moderate
Entry Risk by State Alaska — 37.2 · #5 Alabama — 46.4 · #36 Arkansas — 51.8 · #44 Arizona — 44.9 · #32 California — 44.0 · #28 Colorado — 42.9 · #23 Connecticut — 44.7 · #31 District of Columbia — 58.0 · #50 Delaware — 41.8 · #19 Florida — 51.0 · #43 Georgia — 47.5 · #38 Hawaii — 56.1 · #48 Iowa — 40.8 · #16 Idaho — 40.1 · #12 Illinois — 48.1 · #39 Indiana — 39.8 · #10 Kansas — 40.4 · #14 Kentucky — 46.4 · #36 Louisiana — 52.3 · #46 Massachusetts — 37.1 · #4 Maryland — 43.6 · #26 Maine — 44.1 · #29 Michigan — 40.5 · #15 Minnesota — 39.6 · #9 Missouri — 50.6 · #42 Mississippi — 59.2 · #51 Montana — 45.8 · #34 North Carolina — 43.4 · #25 North Dakota — 49.9 · #41 Nebraska — 35.9 · #2 New Hampshire — 48.7 · #40 New Jersey — 43.7 · #27 New Mexico — 39.9 · #11 Nevada — 37.0 · #3 New York — 57.2 · #49 Ohio — 39.2 · #8 Oklahoma — 46.3 · #35 Oregon — 42.9 · #24 Pennsylvania — 38.1 · #6 Rhode Island — 42.3 · #21 South Carolina — 44.3 · #30 South Dakota — 38.9 · #7 Tennessee — 42.8 · #22 Texas — 41.6 · #17 Utah — 40.3 · #13 Virginia — 41.6 · #17 Vermont — 52.1 · #45 Washington — 42.0 · #20 Wisconsin — 33.3 · #1 West Virginia — 52.8 · #47 Wyoming — 44.9 · #33
Low Moderate Elevated High

Tap a state to view details

About Entry Risk Score: A weighted composite of firm retention, growth momentum, market volatility, establishment density, and wage pressure. Lower scores indicate more favorable conditions. Read full methodology →

Data Sources

Data period: 2024. Last updated: February 2026. Next refresh expected: Q2 2026 (BLS QCEW update).

Compare to Another State

How does Idaho stack up against other states for retail trade?

Select a state above to see the comparison

Retail Trade in Neighboring States

How Idaho's retail trade market compares to bordering states.

Nevada 37.0 #3/51 Utah 40.3 #13/51 Washington 42.0 #20/51 Oregon 42.9 #24/51 Wyoming 44.9 #33/51 Montana 45.8 #34/51

Other Industries in Idaho

Construction → Healthcare and Social Assistance → Accommodation and Food Services → Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services → Finance and Insurance → Real Estate and Rental and Leasing → Administrative and Support Services → Information → Other Services →