Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in California: 2026 Market Risk Report
Entry risk 47.1 (Elevated), ranked #39 of 51 states. 65,966 establishments, 307,065 jobs.
Entry Risk Assessment
Lower is better. Relative to national real estate and rental and leasing average.
The real estate and rental and leasing sector in California shows signs of market maturation: momentum index at 36.7 (top half) combined with below-average firm retention (bottom 15). Net establishment formation is likely flat or negative.
65,966 Establishments in California
California vs National Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Average
How California's real estate and rental and leasing market compares to the national average across all 51 states.
| Metric | CA | National | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Entry Risk Score | 47.1 | 40.5 | +6.6 |
| 5-Year Retention | 23.5% | 51.0% | -27.5 |
| Growth Momentum | 36.7 | 39.4 | -2.7 |
| Market Volatility | 13.5 | 22.1 | -8.6 |
| Establishment Density | 47.1 | 34.1 | +13.0 |
| Wage Pressure | 37.8 | 45.1 | -7.3 |
Green = favorable vs national average. Red = less favorable. Metrics are relative within real estate and rental and leasing only.
California Ranks #39 of 51 for Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
California ranks #39 out of 51 states for real estate and rental and leasing market entry conditions.
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Entry Risk by State
| Rank | State | Risk Score | Classification |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Pennsylvania | 24.5 | low |
| #2 | Wisconsin | 26.0 | low |
| #3 | Nebraska | 26.3 | low |
| #4 | South Dakota | 26.4 | low |
| #5 | Massachusetts | 27.7 | low |
| #39 | California You | 47.1 | elevated |
Tap a state to view details
Data Sources
- Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS), U.S. Census Bureau. Firm entries, exits, and survival rates by state and sector.
- Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), Bureau of Labor Statistics. Establishment counts, employment, and wages.
Data period: 2024. Last updated: February 2026. Next refresh expected: Q2 2026 (BLS QCEW update).
Compare to Another State
How does California stack up against other states for real estate and rental and leasing?
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in Neighboring States
How California's real estate and rental and leasing market compares to bordering states.